Monday, January 6, 2014

6th Jan 2014 - MFCB

FCB - Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis

Author: Ooi Teik Bee   |   Publish date: Mon, 6 Jan 20:19 


Dear valued members,
Disclaimer : This article is meant for educational purpose only. Buy at your own risk. Final decision is yours.
MFCB
Many valued members in I3 are asking me to find another Hapseng-WA for them in 2014. Which stock can run like Hapseng-WA in 2013 ? Finally I found one which I believe can perform very well in 2014 like Hapseng-WA in 2013. This stock is called MFCB.
Technical Analysis
Support = 2.19, 2.15, 2.06, 1.99
Resistance = 2.33, 2.68, 3.02
Target price base on TA = 3.02
Cut loss is at 1.90.
SharesXPert - Probability to win is 9 against 1 i.e. 90% chance to win base on back testing of last 3-month data.
Entry price = > 2.23
Please note that I had bought this stock at 2.18 a week ago. My strategy is to buy and hold until cut loss point is triggered. I want to win big and let profit runs.
Fundamental Analysis 
Target price base on FA = 4.49
Enclosed is Intrinsic Value calculation.

Year2012
Stock nameMFCB
Sales635304
Share price2.28
No. of shares242455
Market cap552797
Net income57927
Total Asset895032
Equity610738
Net profit margin (N.profit/sales)9.12%
Asset turnover (sales/t.asset)0.71
Financial leverage (Total asset/equity)1.47
ROE9.48%
Dividend payout17210
Total capital242455
ROIC - (N.profit-dividend)/Total capital16.79%
EPS0.26
P/E8.83
Total liability149531
Cash & Securities126108
Stock78600
EV - (Mart cap + T.liability - Cash - Stock)497620
EBIT129102
EV/EBIT3.85
  
Method 1 
Target price (EV/EBIT=8)4.49
Current Price 2.28
Margin of Safety49.19%
Potential gain96.82%
  
Thank you.
Ooi Teik Bee 
Tel 603-21482111
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LabelsMFCB
Related Stocks
ChartStock NameLastChangeVolume 
MFCB2.27-0.01 (0.44%)587,300 

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