Wednesday, December 18, 2013

18th Dec 2013 - Pohuat

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Author: Ooi Teik Bee   |   Latest post: Wed, 18 Dec 23:31
  

Pohuat - Technical and Fundamental Analysis

Author: Ooi Teik Bee   |   Publish date: Wed, 18 Dec 23:41



Dear valued members,
Enclosed is the technical chart of Pohuat.
Below is the Fundamental analysis of Pohuat.
Pohuat IV Calculation Par value = 1.00   
    Fundamental Rating
Total Net Profit Years 10/10 87.50%
    
Total Positive Operating Cash flow Years 9/10   
    Current Price
Total Dividend Payout Years 10/10 0.86
      
Total Positive free Cash flow Year 6/10   
  33/40   
   Growth %  
10 Years Average Turn Over                  343,0887.58%  
Current 4 Quarters                  369,094   
      
10 Years Average Net Profit                       8,58463.73%  
Current 4 Quarters                     14,055   
      
10 Years Average operating activities                     17,99077.41%  
2012 Financial year                     31,916   
      
  201120122013Growth
EPS (Cent) 4.9414.0413.07-6.91%
PE Ratio 17.416.136.58-7.42%
NTA 1.161.321.373.79%
Net Profit                       5,584           15,168         14,055-7.34%
Equity                   130,642        142,507      147,2713.34%
ROE 4.27410.6449.54-10.34%
Dividend 220 
Free cash flow -3,84118,869  
      
Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold)     
Average Return History -5.32%   
3 yrs Return 24.10%   
      
Method 1     
EPS 0.13   
g, % 10.00   
Y 7.00   
IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y 1.93   
Current price 0.86   
Margin of Safety 55.45%   
Potential gain 124.49%   
      
Method 2     
Discounted Cash Flows Calculator     
Discount rate  12.00%   
EPS 0.13   
Earning expected to grow (annually) 5.00   
for the next (? Years) 3.0   
before leveling off to an annual growth  3.00   
Calculate Stock Value per share 1.79   
Current price 0.86   
Margin of Safety 51.96%   
Potential gain 108.14%   
      
Method 3     
ROE 9.54%   
Rr, % 8.00%   
NTA 1.37   
IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA 1.63Target price  
Current Price 0.86   
Margin of Safety 47.36%   
Potential gain 89.97%   
      
Method 4     
(22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5     
EPS 0.13   
Total equity 147271   
Number of shares 113387   
(22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5 1.95   
Current price 0.86   
Margin of Safety 56.00%   
Potential gain 127.25%   
      
      
Checklist GoalActualRemarks 
10 Years Average Turn Over - any growth ? > 10%8%Excellent 
10 Years Average Net Profit - any growth ? > 10%64%Excellent 
PE Ratio < = 157Excellent 
ROE > 10%10%Ok 
Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold 3 years) > 10%24%Excellent 
Dividend 3.0 sen2.00Ok 
Free cash flow Positive Yes Ok 
Operating activities - any growth ? >10%77%Excellent 
      
Thank you.     
      
Ooi Teik Bee     
 

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